The Stories Compared (1)


Ovago Vile Vile


Rope Bridge

Main Messages

  • Departure from destructive habits of the past
  • Tolerance and respect take root at all levels of Society
  • Unity vital for national development and to face traumas of the past
  • Diversity of the country an asset
  • Can current development paradigms provide equitable growth for all citizens? If they don’t, to what extent are the long-term stability and unity of the nation compromised?
  • Any vision of development must be comprehensive and national, yielding results for all and not just a few
  • Institutional reforms must be accompanied by political will to see them through to the end
  • The nation must unlearn and discard the destructive habits of the past (sectarianism, waste, corruption) that have fomented and perpetuated conflict

Key Actors

  • Political parties
  • Regional and local governments
  • Parliament, judiciary and media
  • Technocrats
  • Private sector
  • Donors
  • East African Community
  • Political elite
  • Donors
  • The poor (economic and internally displaced people)
  • Rebel groups/armed dissidents
  • Military/security apparatus
  • Business elite
  • Political elite
  • Civil society
  • Military/security apparatus
  • International community

Crisis launching story

  • Realization of the futility of conflict
  • Fruits of the peace dividend recognized and welcomed around the country
  • Growing gap between the haves and have-nots
  • Conflict in the north parked in a low-level intensity stalemate which is nonetheless hard on the local inhabitants
  • Political tensions compounded by ethnicity and sectarian feelings
  • Apparent inability of government to redress the above issues
  • Poor management of post-election transition reinforces mistrust in governmen
  • Highly partisan government; deepening social and economic injustices not tackled fuel broad resentment against government
  • Attempts to roll back democratic gains by the government as it seeks to assert its authority

Early signals/ elements of warning

  • Tensions around transition
  • Search for a government of national unity
  • Elite struggles for control of power and resources
  • Inability to conclude the conflict in the North with any finality
  • Slow implosion of the rural economy triggers migration towards the urban centres
  • Increased intolerance with the non-provision of services; inability of government to maintain its promises
  • Public agitation for change(s)

Main Theme

  • National unity
  • Reconciliation, renewal and reconstruction
  • Displacement, disparity and disintegration
  • Legitimacy of government dependent on its fostering national consensus and tackling pressing problems within society
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